Michael Now Category 4 Hurricane




 Michael is continues to strengthen and is now a strong category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph.
 Additional strengthening is likely and Michael is expected to be a major category 4 hurricane later this morning and at landfall on Wednesday.
 This is a storm of unprecedented strength for this area.All available means should be used to implore people to evacuate.
 Hurricane Warnings remain in effect for much of the region.Tropical Storm warnings surround the hurricane warning area.
 Tropical storm conditions will begin to affect the area within a couple of hours from now. Hurricane conditions could begin as early as sunrise.
 Significant and life threatening storm surge is possible with Michael, especially in Apalachee Bay.
 Locally heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding beginning today.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee
Situation Overview
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 Michael is a strong category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph. Category 4 is now forecast.
 Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings remain in effect
 Significant impacts expected!
NOTE: Do not focus on the exact track. Impacts can occur well outside the area enclosed by the cone.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM
www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Current SatelliteView
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Wind Speed Probabilities
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 There’s a near certainty of tropical storm conditions for most points.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Wind Speed Probabilities
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 There’s a near certainty of hurricane conditions along the coast for points from Panama City to Indian Pass
 There’s a 7 in 10 chance of hurricane conditions across interior points of the Florida Panhandle from Washington County eastward to Gadsden County Florida as well as into Southwestern Georgia.
 There’s a 1 in 3 chance of hurricane conditions as far inland as Albany.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM
www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Earliest Arrival Time of TS Winds
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Most Likely Arrival of TS Winds
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Departure Time of TS Winds
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Potential Peak Gusts
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Wind Threat / Potential Impact
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Wind Threat / Potential Impact
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Potential Storm Surge Flooding
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 Potential for significant and life threatening storm surge.
 Locations of greatest risk:
 Florida Panhandle: 6 to 8 feet above
ground.
 Gulf County through Franklin County 8 to 10 feet above ground.
 Wakulla County through Taylor County 10 to 12 feet above ground.
 Dixie County 8 to 10 feet above ground.
 Timing: Storm surge inundation could begin as early as Tuesday night, peaking on Wednesday.
Note: This graphic shows where storm surge could occur. It depicts a reasonable worst case scenario and not inland extent.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM
www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Storm Surge Watch/Warning
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
Storm Surge Warning Storm Surge Watch
10/9/2018 11:58 PM
www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Expected Storm Total Rainfall
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 Storm total rainfall forecast valid Wednesday and Thursday Note:There will likely be locally higher amounts
10/9/2018 11:58 PM
www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Potential Tornado Impacts
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 Main threat of tornadoes would be beginning on Wednesday and continuing into Thursday.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

Summary
Tallahassee WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE
Hurricane Michael
 Michael is continues to strengthen and is now a strong category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph.
 Additional strengthening is likely and Michael is expected to be a major category 4 hurricane later this morning and at landfall on Wednesday.
 This is a storm of unprecedented strength for this area.All available means should be used to implore people to evacuate.
 Hurricane Warnings remain in effect for much of the region.Tropical Storm warnings surround the hurricane warning area.
 Tropical storm conditions will begin to affect the area within a couple of hours from now. Hurricane conditions could begin as early as sunrise.
 Significant and life threatening storm surge is possible with Michael, especially in Apalachee Bay.
 Locally heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding beginning today.
10/9/2018 11:58 PM www.weather.gov/Tallahassee

HURRICANE MICHAEL BRIEFING
Please contact WFO Tallahassee at 850-942-8833 option 9
or through the “TAEchat” NWSChatroom
The Next Briefing Will Be:
Wednesday at 9:30 AM EDT
You can get the latest graphics and information on this storm at www.hurricanes.gov
NWSTallahassee
www.weather.gov/Tallahassee




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